GOV RADAR / Africa

Ethiopia

에티오피아 · ET

Updated 2026-11-07 · as of 2026-06~10 보도(2026/27 예산, 10월 총리 재취임·내각, 10월 티그라이 임시정부, Fitch 10월 평가) · Watch

Abiy Ahmed began a new five-year term in October 2026 after his Prosperity Party won 438 of 547 seats in the June election, and a 22-minister cabinet was approved. The FY2026/27 federal budget is a record ETB 2.34 trillion (about $14.6bn); renewed fighting in Tigray since September and the break with Eritrea are key risks.

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Government · leader

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed (head of government, re-elected Oct 2026 for five years) / President Taye Atske Selassie (head of state)

Key national agenda

  • Continuing the Homegrown Economic Reform Agenda
  • Spending focused on education, roads, health, agriculture, energy and urban development
  • Completing external debt restructuring (Eurobond exchange) and FX reform
  • Interim Tigray administration with regional elections within six months
  • Security and diplomacy, including access to the Red Sea

Government programmes

FY2026/27 federal budgetETB 2.34tn (about $14.6bn)

ETB 2.34tn (up about 0.5tn from 1.9tn); domestic taxes ETB 1.49tn, partner loans and grants ETB 93.7bn; 15.1% to regional states

AgencyMinistry of Finance
BudgetETB 2.34tn (about $14.6bn)
StatusOngoing
Sources
Eurobond restructuring$880m new bond

Agreement in principle (Jun 2026): $1bn bond exchanged for $880m new bond (6.15%, 3 years), 12% haircut; needs 75% holder consent, could close by end-2026

AgencyMinistry of Finance
Budget$880m new bond
StatusOngoing
Sources
Korean cooperation portfolioOver $1.2bn

Korea Eximbank EDCF: 13 projects, about $961m (energy, transport, health, water); KOICA: 18 projects, over $200m; revised EDCF framework ceiling $1bn (2024-2028)

AgencyMinistry of Finance
BudgetOver $1.2bn
StatusOngoing
Sources
Tigray interim administration and reconstruction

Six-month interim government named 16 Oct 2026 to repair infrastructure and return displaced people (single source)

AgencyOffice of the Prime Minister
StatusPlanned
Sources
EEU medium-voltage distribution

World Bank-financed re-tender, two lots covering seven towns; design, supply, installation (deadline not confirmed)

AgencyEthiopian Electric Utility
StatusPlanned
Sources

Business opportunities

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ODA · EDCF projects

  • Research equipment for Adama Science and Technology University · EDCF loan · Approved · $86m
  • Bole International Airport digital transformation · KOICA grant · Ongoing · Not disclosed
  • EDCF framework arrangement (2024-2028) · EDCF loan · Ongoing · Ceiling $1bn

Korean wins

  • HD Hyundai Infracore — Supply of 100 36-ton excavators 2025 · Not disclosed
  • Hyosung Heavy Industries — Ethiopia power grid project (single source) 2022 · KRW 235.7bn
  • Incheon International Airport Corp. — Bole Airport digital transformation (KOICA) 2025 · Not disclosed

Korean support schemes

  • KOTRA Addis Ababa office · KOTRA — Market research and buyer matching (no specific event confirmed in this review)
  • EDCF framework (ceiling $1bn, 2024-2028) · Korea Eximbank — Concessional loans for energy, roads, irrigation, health and higher education; Ethiopia is the largest EDCF recipient in Africa
  • KOICA in Ethiopia · KOICA — Active since 1995; 18 projects worth over $200m (industry, urban resilience, health)

Official notices

Office of the Prime Minister and Council of Ministers (as reported by ENA and others)

  • 2026-10-16 Interim Tigray government named; elections within six months
  • 2026-10-08 Parliament approved 22-minister cabinet (Finance: Fitsum Assefa)
  • 2026-10-05 Abiy sworn in for a new five-year term
  • 2026-06-09 Council of Ministers sent ETB 2.34tn budget to parliament

Disaster · conflict · epidemic

Watch 2026-11-07

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Sudan accused Ethiopia-based drones of attacks; bilateral tensions (10/30) · Two attacks in Oromia killed at least 60 (late Oct)

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Credit rating · FX

Fitch RD (LT FC, affirmed Oct 2026) / S&P SD / Moody's Caa3 (S&P and Moody's single source) · K-SURE Not confirmed · ETB -0.2%

Sanctions

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No country-wide UN, EU, UK or Korean sanctions were found; whether the US 2021 Ethiopia-related programme (EO 14046) targeting individuals and entities remains active was not re-checked.

Sources

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