GOV RADAR / Americas

Guatemala

과테말라 · GT

Updated 2026-11-07 · as of 2027년 예산안 국회 심의(2026-10-29 보도), 세계은행 항공 차관 승인(2026-09-08), 중앙은행 환율(2026-11-07) 기준 · Stable

Without a congressional majority, the Arévalo government stresses anti-corruption and stronger institutions ahead of the 2027-06-27 general election. A Q192bn 2027 budget bill is in its final congressional stage, and business groups oppose its higher debt.

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Government · leader

President Bernardo Arévalo (head of state and government, term 2024-01 to 2028-01)

Key national agenda

  • Anti-corruption and stronger democratic institutions
  • More infrastructure spending (13% of the 2027 budget, Q24.9bn)
  • Airport and aviation safety upgrades (US$250m World Bank loan)
  • Transmission grid expansion (PET-4 tender in preparation) and a one-stop permitting bill
  • Public security and managing the 2027 election

Government programmes

2027 General Budget billQ192.045bn (about US$25bn)

Minfin submitted Q192.045bn, with a fiscal deficit of 4.4% of GDP and a Q42.75bn bond issuance quota. The finance committee aims to issue its opinion before 10 November.

AgencyMinistry of Public Finance (Minfin)
BudgetQ192.045bn (about US$25bn)
StatusIn progress
Sources
Civil Aviation Recovery Programme (five airports)US$250m World Bank loan (US$221.8m infrastructure)

Runway, apron, navigation and surveillance system and control tower upgrades at La Aurora, Mundo Maya and three regional aerodromes. Approved 2026-09-08; the works schedule has not been published. (single source)

AgencyDGAC, Ministry of Communications, Infrastructure and Housing
BudgetUS$250m World Bank loan (US$221.8m infrastructure)
StatusApproved
Sources
Transmission expansion plan PET-4Not disclosed

After the 2025 PET-3 tender fell short, the Ministry of Energy and Mines plans to launch PET-4 within months. The last transmission plan awarded was in 2014. (single source)

AgencyMinistry of Energy and Mines (MEM)
BudgetNot disclosed
StatusPlanned
Sources
Evaluation of 2026 public investment projectsUnconfirmed

The planning secretariat (Segeplan) evaluated 73 public investment projects in 2026. (single source)

AgencySegeplan
BudgetUnconfirmed
StatusIn progress
Sources

Business opportunities

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ODA · EDCF projects

  • KOICA talks on food security and climate-hazard cooperation · KOICA 무상 · 발굴 · Not disclosed

Korean support schemes

  • KOTRA Guatemala Trade Office · KOTRA — Market intelligence, buyer matching and export consultation for Guatemala and Central America.
  • KOICA cooperation in Guatemala · KOICA — Food security, disaster management, capacity building, master's and PhD scholarships and training for officials.
  • SBC Export Voucher · Korea SMEs and Startups Agency — Support for export marketing costs such as trade fairs, certification and translation.

Official notices

Guatemalan government news agency AGN (Presidency announcements)

  • 2026-11-06 Segeplan evaluated 73 public investment projects for 2026
  • 2026-11-06 Acting President Karin Herrera promoted a Science Clubs bill
  • 2026-10-23 Army added four aircraft to strengthen the Air Force's response capacity
  • 2026-10-15 President Arévalo reappointed Finance Minister Menkos after a Constitutional Court suspension

Disaster · conflict · epidemic

Stable 2026-11-07

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Credit rating · FX

S&P BB+ / Moody's unconfirmed / Fitch unconfirmed · K-SURE Unconfirmed · GTQ

Sanctions

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No country-wide UN, US, EU, UK or Korean sanctions programme applies (the US has designated some individuals over corruption).

Sources

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