GOV RADAR / Asia

Tajikistan

타지키스탄 · TJ

Updated 2026-11-07 · as of 2026 예산(2025-11 초안·2026-01 집행), 2027 예산안 정부 회의(2026-10-30), 2026-09 한-중앙아 정상회의, 세계은행 공고(2026-10~11) 기준 · Stable

President Rahmon has ruled for decades, with PM Rasulzoda leading the cabinet. The Rogun hydropower plant dominates state spending, and at the September 2026 Korea-Central Asia summit in Seoul the two countries upgraded ties to a comprehensive partnership and signed 17 agreements and MOUs.

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Government · leader

President Emomali Rahmon (also head of government) / Prime Minister Kokhir Rasulzoda

Key national agenda

  • Faster Rogun construction and power exports
  • Wider tax base, arrears clearance and digital data exchange
  • Import substitution and more domestic production
  • Rail, transport and logistics links; critical minerals (antimony) cooperation
  • Irrigation and water supply upgrades

Government programmes

Rogun hydropower plant2026: TJS 10bn+ (planned); World Bank US$650m (approved total)

Over TJS 10bn planned for 2026 (TJS 8.2bn in the budget). World Bank IDA grant US$350m (2024) plus a US$300m second phase in June 2026; AIIB, IsDB and others also financing.

AgencyRogun project management group under the President, Ministry of Energy and Water Resources
Budget2026: TJS 10bn+ (planned); World Bank US$650m (approved total)
StatusOngoing
Sources
2026 state budgetSpending ~TJS 67bn (~US$7.2bn)

Revenue ~TJS 65bn, spending ~TJS 67bn, deficit ~1% of GDP. Fuel and energy get 22.4% (TJS 15bn), about 90% of it for Rogun.

AgencyMinistry of Finance
BudgetSpending ~TJS 67bn (~US$7.2bn)
StatusOngoing
Sources
Draft 2027 state budgetRevenue TJS 80.1bn (projected)

Revenue TJS 80.1bn (~US$8.7bn, +23.2% vs 2026); social spending TJS 36.7bn (44.8%). Reviewed at a 30 Oct 2026 government meeting (single source).

AgencyMinistry of Finance
BudgetRevenue TJS 80.1bn (projected)
StatusPlanned
Sources
World Bank Second Strengthening Water and Irrigation Management (SWIM 2)Unverified

Works tendered incl. 17.6km Sebiston-Dangara pipeline and Beshkent hydro unit rehabilitation.

AgencyAgency for Land Reclamation and Irrigation (ALRI)
BudgetUnverified
StatusOngoing
Sources
World Bank Tajikistan Digital Foundations ProjectUnverified

Digital service design, ICT courses for women and more; closes Dec 2030.

AgencyGovernment digital agency
BudgetUnverified
StatusOngoing
Sources
World Bank Financial and Private Sector Development ProjectUS$50m (approved)

Includes payout software and MIS for the Deposit and Savings Insurance Fund; closes Sep 2028.

AgencyMinistry of Finance
BudgetUS$50m (approved)
StatusOngoing
Sources

Business opportunities

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Tenders

  • Reconstruction of the Sebiston-Dangara water pipeline (17.6km), Khatlon · Fergana Valley Water Resources Management Project PMU under ALRI · Deadline 2026-11-30
  • Rehabilitation of Beshkent Hydro Unit, Shakhrituz district · Fergana Valley Water Resources Management Project PMU under ALRI · Deadline 2026-11-30
  • Payout software and MIS for the Deposit and Savings Insurance Fund (DSIFT) · PIU for Access to Green and Rural Development Finance, Ministry of Finance · Deadline 2026-11-19

ODA · EDCF projects

  • Strengthening digitalisation of government functions · KOICA 무상 · 승인 · US$6.5m
  • Vahdat power grid improvement, phase II · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$14m
  • Rudaki district irrigation facility improvement and capacity building · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$10.5m
  • Modernised horticulture greenhouse foundation, Hisor · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$8m

Korean support schemes

  • KOTRA cooperation with Tajikistan's export agency and a 'Korea Desk' · KOTRA — The September 2026 summit agreed a dedicated desk to support Korean companies.
  • KOICA country programme · KOICA — Grant projects in power, irrigation and digital government generate equipment and service procurement.
  • SME Export Voucher · Korea SMEs and Startups Agency — Voucher support for overseas marketing, translation, certification and consulting for Korean SMEs.
  • K-SURE short-term export insurance and project guarantees · Korea Trade Insurance Corporation — Covers buyer non-payment and country risk, and guarantees overseas project finance.

Official notices

Office of the President of Tajikistan

  • 2026-10-30 Government meeting chaired by President Rahmon reviews draft 2027 budget (revenue TJS 80.1bn)
  • 2026-10-18 PM Rasulzoda meets Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Dushanbe
  • 2026-09-16 President Rahmon's state summit in Seoul; ties upgraded to comprehensive partnership
  • 2026-06-30 World Bank approves a US$300m second-phase grant for Rogun

Disaster · conflict · epidemic

Stable 2026-11-07

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Credit rating · FX

S&P B (positive, outlook raised Feb 2026) / Moody's B2 (stable, upgraded Mar 2026) / Fitch unverified · K-SURE Unverified · TJS

Sanctions

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Not subject to any country-level UN, US, EU, UK or Korean programme; Russia-linked counterparties should be screened individually.

Sources

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