GOV RADAR / Afrika

Etiopia

Ethiopia · ET

Diperbarui 2026-11-07 · per 2026-06~10 보도(2026/27 예산, 10월 총리 재취임·내각, 10월 티그라이 임시정부, Fitch 10월 평가) · Waspada

Abiy Ahmed memulai masa jabatan lima tahun baru pada Oktober 2026 setelah Partai Kemakmuran memenangi 438 dari 547 kursi pada pemilu Juni, dan kabinet 22 menteri disetujui. Anggaran federal 2026/27 mencapai rekor ETB 2,34 triliun (sekitar US$14,6 miliar); kembalinya pertempuran di Tigray sejak September dan putusnya hubungan dengan Eritrea menjadi risiko utama.

Apa yang dapat dilakukan perusahaan Korea sekarang

Pesan ringkasan masuk pasar

Pemerintah · pemimpin

Perdana Menteri Abiy Ahmed (kepala pemerintahan, terpilih kembali Okt 2026 untuk lima tahun) / Presiden Taye Atske Selassie (kepala negara)

Agenda nasional

  • Melanjutkan Agenda Reformasi Ekonomi Nasional
  • Belanja difokuskan pada pendidikan, jalan, kesehatan, pertanian, energi, dan pembangunan perkotaan
  • Menuntaskan restrukturisasi utang luar negeri (pertukaran Eurobond) dan reformasi valas
  • Pemerintahan sementara Tigray dengan pemilu daerah dalam enam bulan
  • Keamanan dan diplomasi, termasuk akses ke Laut Merah

Program pemerintah

FY2026/27 federal budgetETB 2.34tn (about $14.6bn)

ETB 2.34tn (up about 0.5tn from 1.9tn); domestic taxes ETB 1.49tn, partner loans and grants ETB 93.7bn; 15.1% to regional states

InstansiKementerian Keuangan
AnggaranETB 2.34tn (about $14.6bn)
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
Eurobond restructuring$880m new bond

Agreement in principle (Jun 2026): $1bn bond exchanged for $880m new bond (6.15%, 3 years), 12% haircut; needs 75% holder consent, could close by end-2026

InstansiKementerian Keuangan
Anggaran$880m new bond
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
Korean cooperation portfolioOver $1.2bn

Korea Eximbank EDCF: 13 projects, about $961m (energy, transport, health, water); KOICA: 18 projects, over $200m; revised EDCF framework ceiling $1bn (2024-2028)

InstansiKementerian Keuangan
AnggaranOver $1.2bn
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
Tigray interim administration and reconstruction

Six-month interim government named 16 Oct 2026 to repair infrastructure and return displaced people (single source)

InstansiKantor Perdana Menteri
StatusDirencanakan
Sumber
EEU medium-voltage distribution

World Bank-financed re-tender, two lots covering seven towns; design, supply, installation (deadline not confirmed)

InstansiEthiopian Electric Utility
StatusDirencanakan
Sumber

Peluang bisnis

Alasan waktu dan target pembeli untuk 3 lainnya

Anggota gratis mendapatkan ringkasan yang ditinjau manusia melalui email untuk hingga 3 negara per bulan (dikirim dalam 24 jam). Anggota BUILD mendapatkan semuanya.

Lihat semua — anggota analisis ₩19.800/bulan Gratis untuk 3 negara

Proyek ODA · EDCF

  • Research equipment for Adama Science and Technology University · EDCF loan · Approved · $86m
  • Bole International Airport digital transformation · KOICA grant · Ongoing · Not disclosed
  • EDCF framework arrangement (2024-2028) · EDCF loan · Ongoing · Ceiling $1bn

Kontrak yang dimenangkan Korea

  • HD Hyundai Infracore — Supply of 100 36-ton excavators 2025 · Not disclosed
  • Hyosung Heavy Industries — Ethiopia power grid project (single source) 2022 · KRW 235.7bn
  • Incheon International Airport Corp. — Bole Airport digital transformation (KOICA) 2025 · Not disclosed

Dukungan Korea

  • KOTRA Addis Ababa office · KOTRA — Market research and buyer matching (no specific event confirmed in this review)
  • EDCF framework (ceiling $1bn, 2024-2028) · Korea Eximbank — Concessional loans for energy, roads, irrigation, health and higher education; Ethiopia is the largest EDCF recipient in Africa
  • KOICA in Ethiopia · KOICA — Active since 1995; 18 projects worth over $200m (industry, urban resilience, health)

Pengumuman resmi

Office of the Prime Minister and Council of Ministers (as reported by ENA and others)

  • 2026-10-16 Interim Tigray government named; elections within six months
  • 2026-10-08 Parliament approved 22-minister cabinet (Finance: Fitsum Assefa)
  • 2026-10-05 Abiy sworn in for a new five-year term
  • 2026-06-09 Council of Ministers sent ETB 2.34tn budget to parliament

Bencana · konflik · wabah

Waspada 2026-11-07

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Sudan accused Ethiopia-based drones of attacks; bilateral tensions (10/30) · Two attacks in Oromia killed at least 60 (late Oct)

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Peringkat kredit · kurs

Fitch RD (LT FC, affirmed Oct 2026) / S&P SD / Moody's Caa3 (S&P and Moody's single source) · K-SURE Not confirmed · ETB -0.2%

Sanksi

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No country-wide UN, EU, UK or Korean sanctions were found; whether the US 2021 Ethiopia-related programme (EO 14046) targeting individuals and entities remains active was not re-checked.

Sumber

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