GOV RADAR / Asia

Tajikistan

Tajikistan · TJ

Diperbarui 2026-11-07 · per 2026 예산(2025-11 초안·2026-01 집행), 2027 예산안 정부 회의(2026-10-30), 2026-09 한-중앙아 정상회의, 세계은행 공고(2026-10~11) 기준 · Stabil

Presiden Rahmon telah berkuasa selama beberapa dekade, dengan PM Rasulzoda memimpin kabinet. PLTA Rogun mendominasi belanja negara, dan pada KTT Korea-Asia Tengah September 2026 di Seoul kedua negara meningkatkan hubungan menjadi kemitraan komprehensif serta menandatangani 17 perjanjian dan MoU.

Apa yang dapat dilakukan perusahaan Korea sekarang

Pesan ringkasan masuk pasar

Pemerintah · pemimpin

Presiden Emomali Rahmon (juga kepala pemerintahan) / Perdana Menteri Kokhir Rasulzoda

Agenda nasional

  • Mempercepat pembangunan Rogun dan ekspor listrik
  • Memperluas basis pajak, melunasi tunggakan, dan pertukaran data digital
  • Substitusi impor dan peningkatan produksi dalam negeri
  • Konektivitas rel, transportasi, dan logistik; kerja sama mineral kritis (antimon)
  • Peningkatan irigasi dan penyediaan air

Program pemerintah

Rogun hydropower plant2026: TJS 10bn+ (planned); World Bank US$650m (approved total)

Over TJS 10bn planned for 2026 (TJS 8.2bn in the budget). World Bank IDA grant US$350m (2024) plus a US$300m second phase in June 2026; AIIB, IsDB and others also financing.

InstansiRogun project management group under the President, Ministry of Energy and Water Resources
Anggaran2026: TJS 10bn+ (planned); World Bank US$650m (approved total)
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
2026 state budgetSpending ~TJS 67bn (~US$7.2bn)

Revenue ~TJS 65bn, spending ~TJS 67bn, deficit ~1% of GDP. Fuel and energy get 22.4% (TJS 15bn), about 90% of it for Rogun.

InstansiKementerian Keuangan
AnggaranSpending ~TJS 67bn (~US$7.2bn)
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
Draft 2027 state budgetRevenue TJS 80.1bn (projected)

Revenue TJS 80.1bn (~US$8.7bn, +23.2% vs 2026); social spending TJS 36.7bn (44.8%). Reviewed at a 30 Oct 2026 government meeting (single source).

InstansiKementerian Keuangan
AnggaranRevenue TJS 80.1bn (projected)
StatusDirencanakan
Sumber
World Bank Second Strengthening Water and Irrigation Management (SWIM 2)Unverified

Works tendered incl. 17.6km Sebiston-Dangara pipeline and Beshkent hydro unit rehabilitation.

InstansiAgency for Land Reclamation and Irrigation (ALRI)
AnggaranUnverified
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
World Bank Tajikistan Digital Foundations ProjectUnverified

Digital service design, ICT courses for women and more; closes Dec 2030.

InstansiGovernment digital agency
AnggaranUnverified
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber
World Bank Financial and Private Sector Development ProjectUS$50m (approved)

Includes payout software and MIS for the Deposit and Savings Insurance Fund; closes Sep 2028.

InstansiKementerian Keuangan
AnggaranUS$50m (approved)
StatusBerlangsung
Sumber

Peluang bisnis

Why-now and target buyers for the other 4

Anggota gratis mendapatkan ringkasan yang ditinjau manusia melalui email untuk hingga 3 negara per bulan (dikirim dalam 24 jam). Anggota BUILD mendapatkan semuanya.

Lihat semua — anggota analisis ₩19.800/bulan Gratis untuk 3 negara

Tender

  • Reconstruction of the Sebiston-Dangara water pipeline (17.6km), Khatlon · Fergana Valley Water Resources Management Project PMU under ALRI · Batas waktu 2026-11-30
  • Rehabilitation of Beshkent Hydro Unit, Shakhrituz district · Fergana Valley Water Resources Management Project PMU under ALRI · Batas waktu 2026-11-30
  • Payout software and MIS for the Deposit and Savings Insurance Fund (DSIFT) · PIU for Access to Green and Rural Development Finance, Ministry of Finance · Batas waktu 2026-11-19

Proyek ODA · EDCF

  • Strengthening digitalisation of government functions · KOICA 무상 · 승인 · US$6.5m
  • Vahdat power grid improvement, phase II · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$14m
  • Rudaki district irrigation facility improvement and capacity building · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$10.5m
  • Modernised horticulture greenhouse foundation, Hisor · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$8m

Dukungan Korea

  • KOTRA cooperation with Tajikistan's export agency and a 'Korea Desk' · KOTRA — The September 2026 summit agreed a dedicated desk to support Korean companies.
  • KOICA country programme · KOICA — Grant projects in power, irrigation and digital government generate equipment and service procurement.
  • SME Export Voucher · Korea SMEs and Startups Agency — Voucher support for overseas marketing, translation, certification and consulting for Korean SMEs.
  • K-SURE short-term export insurance and project guarantees · Korea Trade Insurance Corporation — Covers buyer non-payment and country risk, and guarantees overseas project finance.

Pengumuman resmi

Office of the President of Tajikistan

  • 2026-10-30 Government meeting chaired by President Rahmon reviews draft 2027 budget (revenue TJS 80.1bn)
  • 2026-10-18 PM Rasulzoda meets Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Dushanbe
  • 2026-09-16 President Rahmon's state summit in Seoul; ties upgraded to comprehensive partnership
  • 2026-06-30 World Bank approves a US$300m second-phase grant for Rogun

Bencana · konflik · wabah

Stabil 2026-11-07

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Peringkat kredit · kurs

S&P B (positive, outlook raised Feb 2026) / Moody's B2 (stable, upgraded Mar 2026) / Fitch unverified · K-SURE Unverified · TJS

Sanksi

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Not subject to any country-level UN, US, EU, UK or Korean programme; Russia-linked counterparties should be screened individually.

Sumber

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