GOV RADAR / América

Ecuador

Ecuador · EC

Actualizado 2026-11-07 · a 2026년 예산(2025-11 승인), 2027 예산안 심의(2026-10~11), 2026-08~11 정부·국제기구 발표 기준 · Atención

The Noboa government is pursuing a security crackdown and fiscal consolidation under an IMF programme, citing a 2026 S&P upgrade and rising FDI. El Niño reconstruction and fuel subsidies are the main fiscal risks for 2027.

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Gobierno · líder

President Daniel Noboa (head of state and government; second term from May 2025 to 2029)

Agenda nacional

  • Fighting organised crime and improving security
  • Deficit reduction under the IMF programme (2027 target 0.9% of GDP)
  • El Niño recovery and local infrastructure investment
  • Transmission grid and renewable expansion
  • Wider trade deals such as the Korea SECA and non-oil exports

Programas de gobierno

2026 General State Budget$46.26bn incl. debt service

Revenue $30.12bn, spending $35.53bn; $46.26bn including debt service. Approved by the Assembly on 29 Nov 2025

OrganismoMinistry of Economic and Productive Development (former Finance Ministry)
Presupuesto$46.26bn incl. debt service
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
2027 budget proposal and Annual Investment PlanInvestment plan about $3bn (single source)

Government proposes an investment plan of about $3bn; under Assembly review. Deficit target 0.9% of GDP

OrganismoMinistry of Economic and Productive Development
PresupuestoInvestment plan about $3bn (single source)
EstadoPlanificado
Fuentes
World Bank local infrastructure programme via BDEUp to $800m over 10 years; phase 1 of $250m committed

Loans to local governments for energy, transport, urban development, disaster risk and housing. Phase 1: $200m World Bank plus $50m AECID

OrganismoBanco de Desarrollo del Ecuador (BDE)
PresupuestoUp to $800m over 10 years; phase 1 of $250m committed
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
IDB transmission grid and Amazon electrification$300m (IDB $270m + CTF $30m)

Upgrade of 700+ km of lines, more renewables, grid connection for about 5,600 Amazon households by 2031

OrganismoMinistry of Energy and Mines / CELEC EP
Presupuesto$300m (IDB $270m + CTF $30m)
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
Ecuador-Peru 500 kV interconnection (Ecuador section)Reference budget $270.9m

CELEC EP Transelectric tendered substations and lines in two lots (bids closed Apr 2026); co-financed by IDB and EIB

OrganismoCELEC EP
PresupuestoReference budget $270.9m
EstadoBids closed (evaluation, estimate)
Fuentes
IDB public procurement (SERCOP) modernisation$22.95m

Stronger procurement governance, a new integrated digital platform and cybersecurity

OrganismoSERCOP
Presupuesto$22.95m
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes

Oportunidades de negocio

Why-now and target buyers for the other 4

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Apoyos coreanos

  • KOTRA Quito office · KOTRA — Market research and buyer matching; published a construction-machinery parts report in Aug 2026
  • Korea-Ecuador Strategic Economic Cooperation Agreement (SECA) · Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources — Signed 2 Sep 2025; Ecuador to remove tariffs on 92.8% of Korean goods; enters into force after ratification
  • SME Export Voucher · KOSME — Covers certification, marketing and translation costs (available for all countries)

Avisos oficiales

Ministry of Economic and Productive Development of Ecuador

  • 2026-11-05 Announced $458m in credit for basic services and sustainable production
  • 2026-10-30 Said the 2027 budget gives priority to public works and social investment
  • 2026-10-14 Raised annual transfers to local governments to $3.857bn
  • 2026-08-13 Announced S&P's upgrade of the sovereign rating from B- to B (stable)

Desastres · conflicto · epidemias

Atención 2026-11-07

🌪

Flooding (GDACS, 3 Nov) (single source)

⚔

Organised-crime violence continues

🦠

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Organismos

Calificación · tipo de cambio

S&P B (stable, Aug 2026) / Moody's Caa1 (upgraded Jan 2026) / Fitch B- (upgraded Nov 2025) · K-SURE Not confirmed · USD

Sanciones

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No country-level UN, US, EU, UK or Korean sanctions programme applies.

Fuentes

WORLD MAKING MEMBERS