GOV RADAR / Asia

Tayikistán

Tajikistan · TJ

Actualizado 2026-11-07 · a 2026 예산(2025-11 초안·2026-01 집행), 2027 예산안 정부 회의(2026-10-30), 2026-09 한-중앙아 정상회의, 세계은행 공고(2026-10~11) 기준 · Estable

El presidente Rahmon gobierna desde hace décadas, con el primer ministro Rasulzoda al frente del gabinete. La hidroeléctrica de Rogún domina el gasto público, y en la cumbre Corea-Asia Central de septiembre de 2026 en Seúl ambos países elevaron sus lazos a asociación integral y firmaron 17 acuerdos y memorandos.

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Gobierno · líder

Presidente Emomali Rahmon (también jefe de gobierno) / Primer ministro Kokhir Rasulzoda

Agenda nacional

  • Acelerar la construcción de Rogún y las exportaciones eléctricas
  • Ampliar la base tributaria, saldar atrasos e intercambio digital de datos
  • Sustitución de importaciones y más producción nacional
  • Conexiones ferroviarias, de transporte y logística; cooperación en minerales críticos (antimonio)
  • Mejoras de riego y abastecimiento de agua

Programas de gobierno

Rogun hydropower plant2026: TJS 10bn+ (planned); World Bank US$650m (approved total)

Over TJS 10bn planned for 2026 (TJS 8.2bn in the budget). World Bank IDA grant US$350m (2024) plus a US$300m second phase in June 2026; AIIB, IsDB and others also financing.

OrganismoRogun project management group under the President, Ministry of Energy and Water Resources
Presupuesto2026: TJS 10bn+ (planned); World Bank US$650m (approved total)
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
2026 state budgetSpending ~TJS 67bn (~US$7.2bn)

Revenue ~TJS 65bn, spending ~TJS 67bn, deficit ~1% of GDP. Fuel and energy get 22.4% (TJS 15bn), about 90% of it for Rogun.

OrganismoMinisterio de Finanzas
PresupuestoSpending ~TJS 67bn (~US$7.2bn)
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
Draft 2027 state budgetRevenue TJS 80.1bn (projected)

Revenue TJS 80.1bn (~US$8.7bn, +23.2% vs 2026); social spending TJS 36.7bn (44.8%). Reviewed at a 30 Oct 2026 government meeting (single source).

OrganismoMinisterio de Finanzas
PresupuestoRevenue TJS 80.1bn (projected)
EstadoPlanificado
Fuentes
World Bank Second Strengthening Water and Irrigation Management (SWIM 2)Unverified

Works tendered incl. 17.6km Sebiston-Dangara pipeline and Beshkent hydro unit rehabilitation.

OrganismoAgency for Land Reclamation and Irrigation (ALRI)
PresupuestoUnverified
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
World Bank Tajikistan Digital Foundations ProjectUnverified

Digital service design, ICT courses for women and more; closes Dec 2030.

OrganismoGovernment digital agency
PresupuestoUnverified
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes
World Bank Financial and Private Sector Development ProjectUS$50m (approved)

Includes payout software and MIS for the Deposit and Savings Insurance Fund; closes Sep 2028.

OrganismoMinisterio de Finanzas
PresupuestoUS$50m (approved)
EstadoEn curso
Fuentes

Oportunidades de negocio

Why-now and target buyers for the other 4

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Licitaciones

  • Reconstruction of the Sebiston-Dangara water pipeline (17.6km), Khatlon · Fergana Valley Water Resources Management Project PMU under ALRI · Cierre 2026-11-30
  • Rehabilitation of Beshkent Hydro Unit, Shakhrituz district · Fergana Valley Water Resources Management Project PMU under ALRI · Cierre 2026-11-30
  • Payout software and MIS for the Deposit and Savings Insurance Fund (DSIFT) · PIU for Access to Green and Rural Development Finance, Ministry of Finance · Cierre 2026-11-19

Proyectos ODA · EDCF

  • Strengthening digitalisation of government functions · KOICA 무상 · 승인 · US$6.5m
  • Vahdat power grid improvement, phase II · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$14m
  • Rudaki district irrigation facility improvement and capacity building · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$10.5m
  • Modernised horticulture greenhouse foundation, Hisor · KOICA 무상 · 진행 · US$8m

Apoyos coreanos

  • KOTRA cooperation with Tajikistan's export agency and a 'Korea Desk' · KOTRA — The September 2026 summit agreed a dedicated desk to support Korean companies.
  • KOICA country programme · KOICA — Grant projects in power, irrigation and digital government generate equipment and service procurement.
  • SME Export Voucher · Korea SMEs and Startups Agency — Voucher support for overseas marketing, translation, certification and consulting for Korean SMEs.
  • K-SURE short-term export insurance and project guarantees · Korea Trade Insurance Corporation — Covers buyer non-payment and country risk, and guarantees overseas project finance.

Avisos oficiales

Office of the President of Tajikistan

  • 2026-10-30 Government meeting chaired by President Rahmon reviews draft 2027 budget (revenue TJS 80.1bn)
  • 2026-10-18 PM Rasulzoda meets Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Dushanbe
  • 2026-09-16 President Rahmon's state summit in Seoul; ties upgraded to comprehensive partnership
  • 2026-06-30 World Bank approves a US$300m second-phase grant for Rogun

Desastres · conflicto · epidemias

Estable 2026-11-07

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Calificación · tipo de cambio

S&P B (positive, outlook raised Feb 2026) / Moody's B2 (stable, upgraded Mar 2026) / Fitch unverified · K-SURE Unverified · TJS

Sanciones

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Not subject to any country-level UN, US, EU, UK or Korean programme; Russia-linked counterparties should be screened individually.

Fuentes

WORLD MAKING MEMBERS